Philip Tetlock: raw computed results

The raw ranking from the production similarity calculation (face-embedding centroid cosine → gender-cohort z-normalization). The web-opinion crown, curation, and fusion re-rank are removed.

1. 1
   Joachim Kaiser
   82.8%

   z 4.25
2. 2
   Spencer Cox
   82.5%

   z 4.22
3. 3
   Maya Jasanoff
   78.1%

   z 4.00
4. 4
   Curt Smith
   72.3%

   z 3.93
5. 5
   Jakob Hellman
   64.2%

   z 3.84
6. 6
   Václav Neckář
   58%

   z 3.78
7. 7
   David Foster
   54.4%

   z 3.74
8. 8
   Michael Des Barres
   51.6%

   z 3.71
9. 9
   Christoph Schaub
   47.7%

   z 3.65
10. 10
    Anthony Michael Hall
    47.6%

    z 3.64
11. 11
    William Daniels
    46.3%

    z 3.56
12. 12
    Florence Aubenas
    45.7%

    z 3.52
13. 13
    Brooke Bundy
    45.4%

    z 3.50
14. 14
    Joyce DeWitt
    45.3%

    z 3.49
15. 15
    Melanie Phillips
    44.8%

    z 3.46
16. 16
    Maria Franziska von Trapp
    44.7%

    z 3.45
17. 17
    Mike Pence
    44%

    z 3.41
18. 18
    Simon Williams
    43.8%

    z 3.39
19. 19
    Jón Gnarr
    43.6%

    z 3.38
20. 20
    Sybil Danning
    43.5%

    z 3.38
21. 21
    Emily Harris
    43.3%

    z 3.36
22. 22
    Edward Norton
    43.2%

    z 3.35
23. 23
    Heino
    43.2%

    z 3.35
24. 24
    Garth Jennings
    43%

    z 3.34
25. 25
    Ivan Rakitić
    42.9%

    z 3.33
26. 26
    Layke Anderson
    42.9%

    z 3.33
27. 27
    Karl-Josef Laumann
    42.8%

    z 3.33
28. 28
    Sarah Vowell
    42.6%

    z 3.32
29. 29
    Patrizia Gori
    42.5%

    z 3.31
30. 30
    Norm Macdonald
    42.3%

    z 3.30
31. 31
    Robert Blake
    42.3%

    z 3.29
32. 32
    Joan Bennett
    41.7%

    z 3.26
33. 33
    Paul Landers
    41.3%

    z 3.23
34. 34
    Hou Hsiao-Hsien
    41.3%

    z 3.23
35. 35
    Marco Bellocchio
    41%

    z 3.21
36. 36
    Thích Nhất Hạnh
    40.9%

    z 3.20
37. 37
    Roger Taylor
    40.7%

    z 3.19
38. 38
    Natasha Poly
    40.7%

    z 3.19
39. 39
    Pam Tillis
    40.7%

    z 3.19
40. 40
    Isabelle Autissier
    40.3%

    z 3.17
41. 41
    Stuart Murdoch
    40%

    z 3.15
42. 42
    Antonella Mularoni
    39.9%

    z 3.14
43. 43
    Shirley Phelps-Roper
    39.9%

    z 3.14
44. 44
    Jovanotti
    39.4%

    z 3.11
45. 45
    Bob Seagren
    39.2%

    z 3.10
46. 46
    Ken Burns
    39.2%

    z 3.10
47. 47
    Ilkka Heiskanen
    39%

    z 3.08
48. 48
    Laila Mehdin
    38.9%

    z 3.08
49. 49
    John Davis Chandler
    38.9%

    z 3.08
50. 50
    "Weird Al" Yankovic
    38.8%

    z 3.07